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Toward Kardashev Type I (speculative)(Dyson structure concept art (speculative))

AccelerationFour-dimensional viewin 53 yearsEstimate

2080

Toward Kardashev Type I (speculative)

Speculative: a Type I civilization needs about 10¹⁶ watts, roughly 500 times today's level; at historical growth rates that is still centuries away, so this only marks the direction.

Art style · Dyson structure concept art (speculative)

Origin of Life on EarthDinosaurs and MammalsAI Agents
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Civilization metrics

Each sparkline shows the documented history of a metric on a logarithmic time axis. The dot marks the selected moment.

Kardashev index

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No reliable data yet

World populationEstimate

10.28Bpeople

1 times today

Total human primary energy power

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No reliable data yet

Compute per dollar

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No reliable data yet

Fastest delivery time for a message from London to New York

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No reliable data yet

Fastest speed reached by humans

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No reliable data yet

Near this moment

The eight closest milestones. Select a title to jump there.

  1. 2030ComputingForecast

    Epoch AI estimates that training runs of about 2×10²⁹ floating-point operations will likely be feasible by 2030. Source · Forecast by Epoch AI

  2. 2030EnergyForecast

    The International Energy Agency projects global data center electricity use of about 945 TWh in 2030, more than double the 2024 level. Source · Forecast by International Energy Agency (IEA)

  3. 2031ComputingForecast

    Scenario forecast (2029–2031): interactive generated worlds may be used for creative work, training and robot simulation. Long-run consistency, physical accuracy and cost will determine where they are usable; a playable scene is not a trustworthy simulation of reality. Confidence in direction: medium to low. Year is a browsing anchor. Source · Forecast by e-acc.ai scenario (2026-10-08)

  4. 2032IntelligenceForecast

    The Metaculus community's median forecast for the public announcement of the first general AI system is around 2032 (subject to change). Source · Forecast by Metaculus community forecast

  5. 2039EnergyForecast

    Under its 2024 baseline, ITER plans to begin research operation in 2034 and deuterium-tritium operation in 2039. Source · Forecast by ITER Organization

  6. 2045IntelligenceForecast

    Kurzweil predicts humans will merge with machines by 2045, an event he calls "the Singularity." Source · Forecast by Ray Kurzweil

  7. 2050HumanityForecast

    The medium scenario of the UN's World Population Prospects 2024 projects a world population of about 9.7 billion in 2050. Source · Forecast by UN Population Division (WPP 2024)

  8. 2084HumanityForecast

    The UN projects world population will peak at about 10.3 billion in the mid-2080s and then decline. Source · Forecast by UN Population Division (WPP 2024)

Capabilities

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All documented capabilities have appeared. What follows is forecast.

This site now

The time machine is at the present. This is the live site.

Scenes across eras

Each era illustrated in its own style.

Every timeline entry cites its source. Metrics interpolate logarithmically between sourced data points. Forecasts include institutional and community views, and attributed site scenarios; years are not guaranteed realization dates. Illustrations are AI-generated in each era's style.