0.731
Based on primary energy power · Type I = 1

AccelerationFour-dimensional view2 years agoReasoning Models
Models think before answering, making test-time compute a new scaling dimension.
Art style · 2020s generative AI aesthetic
Each sparkline shows the documented history of a metric on a logarithmic time axis. The dot marks the selected moment.
0.731
Based on primary energy power · Type I = 1
8.21Bpeople
Comparable to today
2×10¹³W
Comparable to today
7.5×10¹⁰floating-point operations per second per dollar (FLOP/s per $, nominal dollars)
1/1 of today
0.03 seconds
Comparable to today
39,897km/h
Comparable to today
The eight closest milestones. Select a title to jump there.
Humanity's first samples returned from the far side of the Moon. Source
The first comprehensive AI law enters into force, with provisions applying in phases. Source

Models think before answering, making test-time compute a new scaling dimension. Source
Hopfield and Hinton are honored for foundational work on machine learning with artificial neural networks. Source
Hassabis and Jumper win for protein structure prediction, sharing the prize with Baker. Source

On Starship's fifth flight test, the Super Heavy booster returns to the launch tower and is caught by its mechanical arms. Source

Anthropic introduces "computer use": the model can see the screen, move the cursor, click and type. Source

An open-source large model reaching the frontier at low training cost. Source
Acquired118 / 121 items
Each era illustrated in its own style.
Every timeline entry cites its source. Metrics interpolate logarithmically between sourced data points. Forecasts include institutional and community views, and attributed site scenarios; years are not guaranteed realization dates. Illustrations are AI-generated in each era's style.