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o1: reasoning models(2020s generative AI aesthetic)

AccelerationFour-dimensional view2 years agoReasoning Models

2024-09-12

o1: reasoning models

Models think before answering, making test-time compute a new scaling dimension.

Art style · 2020s generative AI aesthetic

Origin of Life on EarthDinosaurs and MammalsAI Agents
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Civilization metrics

Each sparkline shows the documented history of a metric on a logarithmic time axis. The dot marks the selected moment.

Kardashev index

0.731

Based on primary energy power · Type I = 1

World populationEstimate

8.21Bpeople

Comparable to today

Total human primary energy power

2×10¹³W

Comparable to today

Compute per dollar

7.5×10¹⁰floating-point operations per second per dollar (FLOP/s per $, nominal dollars)

1/1 of today

Fastest delivery time for a message from London to New York

0.03 seconds

Comparable to today

Fastest speed reached by humans

39,897km/h

Comparable to today

Near this moment

The eight closest milestones. Select a title to jump there.

  1. 2024-06-25Universe

    Humanity's first samples returned from the far side of the Moon. Source

  2. 2024-08-01Culture

    The first comprehensive AI law enters into force, with provisions applying in phases. Source

  3. 2024-09-12Intelligence

    Models think before answering, making test-time compute a new scaling dimension. Source

  4. 2024-10-08Intelligence

    Hopfield and Hinton are honored for foundational work on machine learning with artificial neural networks. Source

  5. 2024-10-09Intelligence

    Hassabis and Jumper win for protein structure prediction, sharing the prize with Baker. Source

  6. 2024-10-13Universe

    On Starship's fifth flight test, the Super Heavy booster returns to the launch tower and is caught by its mechanical arms. Source

  7. 2024-10-22Intelligence

    Anthropic introduces "computer use": the model can see the screen, move the cursor, click and type. Source

  8. 2024-12-26Intelligence

    An open-source large model reaching the frontier at low training cost. Source

Capabilities

Acquired118 / 121 items

Recently acquired

Not yet available

Scenes across eras

Each era illustrated in its own style.

Every timeline entry cites its source. Metrics interpolate logarithmically between sourced data points. Forecasts include institutional and community views, and attributed site scenarios; years are not guaranteed realization dates. Illustrations are AI-generated in each era's style.