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AI 扩散需要很长时间这一观点的反例是编程:在真正可用的编程智能体问世不到一年后,这一职业的彻底转型已经全面展开。考虑到技术在各行各业的历史普及速度,这比我预想的要快。

Ethan Mollick · X· @emollick·· 2 天前

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Ethan Mollick
引文
The counterexample to AI diffusion taking a long time is coding, where the complete transformation of a profession is well underway less than a year after real working coding agents.

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查看这件事的完整进展Ethan Mollick Says AI Agents Are Transforming Coding Faster Than Expected
正文 · 中文版本尚未就绪(原文)

The counterexample to AI diffusion taking a long time is coding, where the complete transformation of a profession is well underway less than a year after real working coding agents. Faster than I would’ve expected given historical technological adoption rates in professions.

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Ethan Mollick says AI coding agents are transforming the coding profession faster than historical adoption rates would suggest, with that shift already well underway less than a year after working agents emerged. He points to coding as a counterexample to the idea that AI adoption across professions takes a long time, and says the pace has exceeded his expectations.