Demis Hassabis Shortens His AGI Forecast to Two to Three Years

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Google DeepMind founder Demis Hassabis now estimates that artificial general intelligence could arrive within two to three years, shortening his earlier forecast of three to five years. Hassabis defines AGI as a system that matches the full cognitive range of the human brain. His proposed “Einstein test” asks whether a system trained only on knowledge available before 1901 could reproduce Einstein’s 1905 papers.

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Latest development10/22 01:10 (UTC+8)

Demis Hassabis Says AGI Could Arrive Within Two to Three Years The Decoder

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10/22

01:10
The Decoder
Demis Hassabis Says AGI Could Arrive Within Two to Three Years
Google DeepMind founder Demis Hassabis now estimates that AGI could arrive within two to three years, shortening his earlier estimate of three to five years. He defines AGI as a system matching the full cognitive range of the human brain and uses an “Einstein test”: whether a system trained only on pre-1901 knowledge could reproduce Einstein’s 1905 papers.

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