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OpinionThe Decoder· Matthias Bastian·· 2 hours ago

Demis Hassabis Says AGI Could Arrive Within Two to Three Years

Deepmind founder Hassabis shortens AGI timeline from five to two to three years

Who
Demis Hassabis
What
estimates AGI could arrive within two to three years
When
Quote
Demis Hassabis, Google Deepmind founder and Nobel laureate in chemistry, now believes AGI could arrive within two to three years.

What happened

Google DeepMind founder Demis Hassabis now estimates that AGI could arrive within two to three years, shortening his earlier estimate of three to five years. He defines AGI as a system matching the full cognitive range of the human brain and uses an “Einstein test”: whether a system trained only on pre-1901 knowledge could reproduce Einstein’s 1905 papers.

The story so far

Google DeepMind founder Demis Hassabis now estimates that artificial general intelligence could arrive within two to three years, shortening his earlier forecast of three to five years. Hassabis defines AGI as a system that matches the full cognitive range of the human brain. His proposed “Einstein test” asks whether a system trained only on knowledge available before 1901 could reproduce Einstein’s 1905 papers.

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