2.2K views · 11 likes · 0 reposts (at collection)
Ethan Mollick Says Some People Predicted Today’s AI Developments a Decade Ago
What happened
Given how out of nowhere it seems to many, it is astonishing that a small group of people predicted with remarkable accuracy everything happening in AI today a decade ago (@kevinroose shows this in The AGI Chronicles). Many of them are now very rich and/or powerful.
Read next
See the full storyEthan Mollick Says Early AI Forecasters Are Now Rich or Powerful2 reports
The story so far
Ethan Mollick said a small group of people accurately predicted today’s AI developments a decade ago and that many of them are now very rich, powerful or both. He pointed to Kevin Roose’s The AGI Chronicles as showing those predictions, contrasting their foresight with the sense among many people that current AI developments came out of nowhere.
Keep up with AI, one email a day
Model releases, price changes and compute developments, with original sources. Free, confirmed by email, and easy to unsubscribe. Read a past issue · 2026-10-27
