Academic Papers Suggest AI May Initially Help Attackers More Than Defenders

What happened

We don't have a lot of evidence, but most academic papers modeling the dynamic seem to suggest AI initially helps attackers more than defenders because of the low marginal cost of attacks in the short term.

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The story so far

Ethan Mollick said most academic papers modeling the balance between attackers and defenders suggest AI initially benefits attackers more, because attacks have a low marginal cost in the short term. He qualified that assessment by saying there is not much evidence.