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ResearchEpoch AI · X· @EpochAIResearch·· 1 hours ago

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Epoch AI Updates Epoch Capabilities Index with Bayesian Methodology

Who
Epoch AI
What
updated the Epoch Capabilities Index to use a Bayesian methodology
Quote
We’ve updated the Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) to use a Bayesian methodology.

What happened

We’ve updated the Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) to use a Bayesian methodology. This improves uncertainty estimates and lets us compare models more accurately, even when their individual ECI uncertainty intervals overlap. Frontier model scores are largely unchanged: models

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See the full storyEpoch AI Updates Its Capabilities Index with a Bayesian Method
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We’ve updated the Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) to use a Bayesian methodology. This improves uncertainty estimates and lets us compare models more accurately, even when their individual ECI uncertainty intervals overlap.

Frontier model scores are largely unchanged: models https://t.co/VmHkorGjge

The story so far

Epoch AI updated the Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) to use a Bayesian methodology, which it said improves uncertainty estimates and makes model comparisons more accurate, including when individual uncertainty intervals overlap. Epoch AI said frontier model scores are largely unchanged.

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